Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the Liga Nacional brings Estrella Roja against CD Motagua. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Estrella Roja are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
CD Motagua, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CD Marathon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrella Roja 1.2 xG, CD Motagua 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrella Roja 31%, draw 23%, CD Motagua 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrella Roja 1–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrella Roja31%fair 3.27 · @2.96
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.08
CD Motagua46%fair 2.15 · @2.18
2.84Expected goals
1.24Estrella Roja xG
1.60CD Motagua xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estrella Roja 1.2 – 1.6 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
46%
2.15
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
CD Motagua (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Estrella Roja +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
CD Motagua to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Estrella Roja – last 2
WD
31 Oct
vs Atletico Independiente
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ Olancho
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 6
WLWDWW
2 Nov
vs CD Marathon
2–0
W
30 Oct
@ LD Alajuelense
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Juticalpa
2–0
W
23 Oct
vs LD Alajuelense
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Platense FC
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Roja and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Estrella Roja have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CD Motagua 46%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Estrella Roja 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
