CD Marathon 67%Draw 18%Platense FC 15%Expected goals 2.17 – 0.90
67%
Betarazi pick
CD Marathon to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.27Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win ✓67% · @1.27
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.01
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
CD Marathon vs Platense FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Marathon welcome Platense FC to Estadio Yankel Rosenthal for a Liga Nacional fixture on Friday 6 November (02:30 WAT). In the table, CD Marathon are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Platense FC are 11th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CD Marathon, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Platense FC, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Olancho, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CD Marathon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Platense FC.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Platense FC 1–1 CD Marathon. The last 2 head-to-heads: CD Marathon 0 wins, Platense FC 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 2.2 xG, Platense FC 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 67%, draw 18%, Platense FC 15%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.01.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Marathon to win (67%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 2–0 Platense FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Marathon67%fair 1.50 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.25
Platense FC15%fair 6.63 · @7.00
3.07Expected goals
2.17CD Marathon xG
0.90Platense FC xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 2.2 – 0.9 Platense FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Platense FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 2–0 Platense FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
CD Marathon vs Platense FC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
