Value bet: CD Motagua to win @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCD Motagua to win ✗59% · @1.82
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✗83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Liga Nacional brings Lobos Upnfm against CD Motagua at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Kick-off: 00:15 WAT. In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Olancho, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
CD Motagua, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estrella Roja, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended CD Motagua 4–1 Lobos Upnfm. The last 3 head-to-heads: Lobos Upnfm 1 win, CD Motagua 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 0.8 xG, CD Motagua 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 17%, draw 24%, CD Motagua 59%.
Lower-risk option: CD Motagua or draw (83%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.64.
Price worth noting: CD Motagua to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 0–2 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lobos Upnfm17%fair 5.94 · @3.54
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.44
CD Motagua59%fair 1.70 · @1.82
2.63Expected goals
0.85Lobos Upnfm xG
1.78CD Motagua xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 0.8 – 1.8 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CD Motagua 59%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
