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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CD Marathon v Atlético Choloma: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
2–0
FT
CD Marathon 73%Draw 17%Atlético Choloma 10% Expected goals 2.19 – 0.66
73%
Betarazi pick

CD Marathon to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Marathon to win ✓73% · @1.20
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94

CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Choloma travel to face CD Marathon on Monday 9 November in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Yankel Rosenthal the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, CD Marathon are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CD Marathon, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Platense FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Atlético Choloma, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Independiente, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Atlético Choloma 0–1 CD Marathon. The last 3 head-to-heads: CD Marathon 1 win, Atlético Choloma 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.7 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CD Marathon 2.2 xG, Atlético Choloma 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CD Marathon 73%, draw 17%, Atlético Choloma 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.79.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CD Marathon to win (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Marathon 2–0 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CD Marathon73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @5.40
Atlético Choloma10%fair 9.89 · @9.90
2.85Expected goals
2.19CD Marathon xG
0.66Atlético Choloma xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: CD Marathon 2.2 – 0.7 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✓73%1.371.20
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.79
Draw no betCD Marathon (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapCD Marathon -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.651.72
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.28
First team to scoreCD Marathon to score first ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultCD Marathon ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.94–

Recent results

CD Marathon – last 6

WLDDWW
6 Novvs Platense FC3–1W
2 Nov@ CD Motagua0–2L
28 Oct@ Alianza0–0D
25 Oct@ Atletico Independiente2–2D
21 Octvs Alianza2–1W
16 Octvs Olancho2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Atlético Choloma – last 6

DLWWLW
6 Novvs Atletico Independiente0–0D
1 Novvs CD Olimpia0–3L
24 Octvs Génesis3–1W
18 Oct@ Juticalpa2–1W
11 Oct@ CD Motagua1–2L
19 Sepvs Estrella Roja2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Atlético Choloma v CD Marathon0–1
1 May 2026CD Marathon v Atlético Choloma0–1
11 Mar 2026Atlético Choloma v CD Marathon0–0
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

On our numbers CD Marathon have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético Choloma 10%.

How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

Our predicted score is CD Marathon 2–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?

CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.