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Banfield v Boca Juniors: numbers & prediction

Copa Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Banfield 16%Draw 25%Boca Juniors 60% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.78
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors to win60% · @1.50
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.29

Banfield vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Boca Juniors travel to face Banfield on Saturday 14 November in the Copa Argentina, with Estadio Malvinas Argentinas the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.

Current form

Banfield, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atletico Tucuman, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Boca Juniors, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensa Y Justicia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Boca Juniors, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Banfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Banfield 0.9 xG, Boca Juniors 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Banfield 16%, draw 25%, Boca Juniors 60%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.38.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 51%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Banfield 0–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Banfield16%fair 6.43 · @6.00
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.70
Boca Juniors60%fair 1.68 · @1.50
2.64Expected goals
0.86Banfield xG
1.78Boca Juniors xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%

From our goals model: Banfield 0.9 – 1.8 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BanfieldBoca Juniors
Attack vs Copa Argentina average+9%+22%
Goals conceded vs average+0%-21%
Our expected goals here0.891.66

Our own ratings from every Copa Argentina result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors to win60%1.681.50
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw84%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.952.38 ▲
Draw no betBoca Juniors (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapBanfield +1.5 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.851.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.141.07
First team to scoreBoca Juniors to score first62%1.60–
Half-time resultBoca Juniors ahead at half-time42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.29–

Recent results

Banfield – last 6

DLDLWD
8 Novvs Atletico Tucuman2–2D
3 Nov@ Independ. Rivadavia1–3L
24 Octvs Lanus1–1D
17 Octvs Argentinos JRS0–1L
10 Oct@ Tigre2–1W
6 Octvs Rosario Central1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Boca Juniors – last 6

WWWWWL
8 Novvs Defensa Y Justicia1–0W
1 Novvs River Plate1–0W
25 Oct@ Independiente1–0W
21 Oct@ Vasco DA Gama3–1W
17 Octvs Talleres Cordoba2–1W
14 Octvs Vasco DA Gama0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Banfield and Boca Juniors.

Banfield vs Boca Juniors head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Banfield vs Boca Juniors?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Banfield vs Boca Juniors?

On our numbers Banfield have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boca Juniors 60%.

How many goals will there be in Banfield vs Boca Juniors?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Banfield vs Boca Juniors?

Our predicted score is Banfield 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Banfield vs Boca Juniors?

Banfield vs Boca Juniors (Copa Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.