Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEthnikos Piraeus to win ✗71% · @1.25
Double chanceEthnikos Piraeus or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗67% · fair 1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.80
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Gamma Ethniki Group 8 brings Ethnikos Piraeus against Amfiali. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Ethnikos Piraeus are 6th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Amfiali are 11th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Ethnikos Piraeus, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zakynthos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethnikos Piraeus 1.5 xG, Amfiali 0.2 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethnikos Piraeus 71%, draw 21%, Amfiali 8%.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ethnikos Piraeus to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethnikos Piraeus 1–0 Amfiali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethnikos Piraeus71%fair 1.40 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.75
Amfiali8%fair 13.22 · @11.00
1.73Expected goals
1.49Ethnikos Piraeus xG
0.25Amfiali xG
33%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–026%
2–020%
0–018%
3–010%
1–16%
2–15%
From our goals model: Ethnikos Piraeus 1.5 – 0.2 Amfiali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethnikos Piraeus to win✗
71%
1.40
1.25
Double chance
Ethnikos Piraeus or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
–
Draw no bet
Ethnikos Piraeus (draw no bet)
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Ethnikos Piraeus -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Ethnikos Piraeus to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethnikos Piraeus / FT Ethnikos Piraeus✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.80
–
Recent results
Ethnikos Piraeus – last 6
LWLLDD
17 May
@ Zakynthos
1–2
L
13 May
vs Pyrgos 1968
2–0
W
10 May
@ Aris Petroupolis
0–1
L
3 May
vs Zakynthos
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Pyrgos 1968
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Aris Petroupolis
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Amfiali
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethnikos Piraeus and Amfiali.
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
Our pick is Ethnikos Piraeus to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
On our numbers Ethnikos Piraeus have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Amfiali 8%.
How many goals will there be in Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 33% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
Our predicted score is Ethnikos Piraeus 1–0 Amfiali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali (Gamma Ethniki Group 8) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
