Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultEgaleo to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEgaleo or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.35
Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Egaleo v Ethnikos Piraeus in the Gamma Ethniki Group 8. In the table, Egaleo are 2nd, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; Ethnikos Piraeus are 6th (upper half) with 10.
Current form
Egaleo, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ialysos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ethnikos Piraeus, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Amfiali, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Egaleo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Ethnikos Piraeus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Egaleo 1.7 xG, Ethnikos Piraeus 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Egaleo 60%, draw 25%, Ethnikos Piraeus 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Egaleo to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Egaleo 1–0 Ethnikos Piraeus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Egaleo60%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.40
Ethnikos Piraeus15%fair 6.66 · @4.50
2.36Expected goals
1.66Egaleo xG
0.69Ethnikos Piraeus xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Egaleo 1.7 – 0.7 Ethnikos Piraeus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egaleo to win✓
60%
1.65
1.67
Double chance
Egaleo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Egaleo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Egaleo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Egaleo to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egaleo / FT Egaleo✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.35
–
Recent results
Egaleo – last 6
WLWWWD
4 Oct
@ Ialysos
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Panargiakos
2–3
L
4 Apr
vs Kissamikos
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Ellas Syros
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Ilioupoli
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Kissamikos
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethnikos Piraeus – last 6
DLWLLD
4 Oct
vs Amfiali
1–1
D
17 May
@ Zakynthos
1–2
L
13 May
vs Pyrgos 1968
2–0
W
10 May
@ Aris Petroupolis
0–1
L
3 May
vs Zakynthos
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Pyrgos 1968
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Egaleo and Ethnikos Piraeus.
What is the prediction for Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Our pick is Egaleo to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
On our numbers Egaleo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ethnikos Piraeus 15%.
How many goals will there be in Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Our predicted score is Egaleo 1–0 Ethnikos Piraeus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus (Gamma Ethniki Group 8) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
