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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v Cherno More Varna: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Ludogorets

WWDDW
5–0
FT

Cherno More Varna

DDLLW
Ludogorets 65%Draw 23%Cherno More Varna 11% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.80
65%
Betarazi pick

Ludogorets to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Ludogorets v Cherno More Varna in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Cherno More Varna, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arda Kardzhali, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Cherno More Varna.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Cherno More Varna 2–3 Ludogorets. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ludogorets 1 win, Cherno More Varna 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 2.1 xG, Cherno More Varna 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 65%, draw 23%, Cherno More Varna 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ludogorets to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 2–0 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
Cherno More Varna11%fair 8.80 · @5.00
2.89Expected goals
2.09Ludogorets xG
0.80Cherno More Varna xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 2.1 – 0.8 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓65%1.531.50
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓89%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.93–
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapLudogorets -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultLudogorets ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

WWDDWW
14 Sepvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Sofia2–1W
30 Aug@ Spartak Varna1–1D
22 Augvs Slavia Sofia1–1D
15 Augvs Botev Plovdiv2–0W
9 Aug@ Cherno More Varna3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cherno More Varna – last 6

DDLLWL
19 Sep@ Arda Kardzhali1–1D
11 Sepvs Lokomotiv Sofia2–2D
6 Sep@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–1L
30 Aug@ CSKA Sofia1–3L
21 Augvs Dunav Ruse3–1W
14 Aug@ CSKA 19481–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Cherno More Varna v Ludogorets2–3
9 Apr 2026Ludogorets v Cherno More Varna0–0
Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?

Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cherno More Varna 11%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 2–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?

Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.