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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aveley v Carshalton Athletic: numbers & prediction

FA Trophy · England

Aveley

LWDLL
2–1
FT

Carshalton Athletic

LDLLL
Aveley 47%Draw 20%Carshalton Athletic 33% Expected goals 2.08 – 1.72
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAveley to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.03

Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the FA Trophy brings Aveley against Carshalton Athletic. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Aveley, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Maldon & Tiptree, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Carshalton Athletic, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Wingate & Finchley, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aveley, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Carshalton Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aveley 2.1 xG, Carshalton Athletic 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aveley 47%, draw 20%, Carshalton Athletic 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aveley 2–1 Carshalton Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aveley47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
Carshalton Athletic33%fair 3.01 · @2.90
3.80Expected goals
2.08Aveley xG
1.72Carshalton Athletic xG
58%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Aveley 2.1 – 1.7 Carshalton Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAveley to win ✓47%2.122.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betAveley (draw no bet) ✓59%1.70–
Asian handicapCarshalton Athletic +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.90–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
First team to scoreAveley to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultAveley ahead at half-time ✓37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aveley / FT Aveley ✓29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.03–

Recent results

Aveley – last 6

LWDLLW
19 Octvs Maldon & Tiptree1–2L
17 Octvs Chatham Town1–0W
10 Oct@ Burgess Hill Town1–1D
6 Oct@ Cheshunt1–2L
29 Sep@ Dulwich Hamlet0–2L
25 Sepvs Ware3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Carshalton Athletic – last 6

LDLLLW
20 Oct@ Wingate & Finchley2–4L
17 Oct@ Dulwich Hamlet2–2D
12 Octvs Enfield Town1–2L
10 Octvs St Albans City0–1L
5 Octvs Eastbourne Borough0–4L
3 Oct@ Ramsgate3–2W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aveley and Carshalton Athletic.

Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic head-to-head page →

More FA Trophy predictions

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FT Ashton United1 Redcar Athletic0 124%3.00X14%3.75262%1.95 1.0–1.9xG 2Redcar Athletic to win 62%@1.95 ✗
FT Avro2 Hyde United1 162%1.55X24%4.00214%4.50 1.8–0.7xG 1Avro to win 62%@1.55 ✓
FT Bath City0 Frome Town0 Pens 148%2.20X20%3.60232%2.62 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.75 ✗
FT Berkhamsted1 Cray Wanderers2 138%2.80X20%3.60242%2.10 1.6–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Bridlington Town2 Curzon Ashton2 Pens 122%3.75X16%3.75262%1.73 1.3–2.3xG 2Curzon Ashton to win 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Dartford3 Three Bridges2 165%1.53X17%4.50218%4.50 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓
FT Gosport Borough0 Chichester City2 146%2.00X18%4.00236%2.75 1.8–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?

On our numbers Aveley have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carshalton Athletic 33%.

How many goals will there be in Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?

Our predicted score is Aveley 2–1 Carshalton Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic?

Aveley vs Carshalton Athletic (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.