Standard Liege vs Dender: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Standard Liege welcome Dender for a Cup fixture on Friday 16 October (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Standard Liege, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Charleroi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dender, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Club Brugge II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dender, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Standard Liege.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Standard Liege 3.9 xG, Dender 2.1 xG – a total near 6.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 94% and GG at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Standard Liege 65%, draw 24%, Dender 11%.
Lower-risk option: Standard Liege or draw (89%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Standard Liege 3–2 Dender. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Standard Liege65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Dender11%fair 9.21 · @5.00
6.00Expected goals
3.92Standard Liege xG
2.08Dender xG
69%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–25%
4–25%
3–15%
4–15%
5–24%
2–24%
From our goals model: Standard Liege 3.9 – 2.1 Dender expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Standard Liege to win✓
65%
1.54
1.60
Double chance
Standard Liege or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.46
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Standard Liege (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Standard Liege -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Standard Liege to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Standard Liege ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Standard Liege / FT Standard Liege✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
5%
18.56
–
Recent results
Standard Liege – last 6
LLLWWW
11 Oct
vs Charleroi
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Gent
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ KVC Westerlo
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ OH Leuven
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dender – last 6
WWWWWW
9 Oct
vs Club Brugge II
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Hoogstraten
6–0
W
20 Sep
vs Patro Eisden
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ KAA Gent II
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Seraing United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Liège
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Standard Liege and Dender.
What is the prediction for Standard Liege vs Dender?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Dender?
On our numbers Standard Liege have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dender 11%.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liege vs Dender?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Standard Liege vs Dender?
Our predicted score is Standard Liege 3–2 Dender, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Standard Liege vs Dender?
Standard Liege vs Dender (Cup) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SK Beveren3
Habay-la-Neuve0
Sporting Hasselt1
Cercle Brugge2
KVC Westerlo2
Patro Eisden0