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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St. Truiden v Lommel United: numbers & prediction

Cup · Belgium

St. Truiden

WLLLW
4–1
FT

Lommel United

WWDLL
St. Truiden 67%Draw 23%Lommel United 11% Expected goals 1.57 – 0.43
67%
Betarazi pick

St. Truiden to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt. Truiden to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.96

St. Truiden vs Lommel United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lommel United travel to face St. Truiden on Sunday 18 October in the Cup – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.

Current form

St. Truiden, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Iberia 1999, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Lommel United, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over SK Beveren, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lommel United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for St. Truiden.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended St. Truiden 1–1 Lommel United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. Truiden 1.6 xG, Lommel United 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St. Truiden 67%, draw 23%, Lommel United 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was St. Truiden to win (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Truiden 1–0 Lommel United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. Truiden67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.20
Lommel United11%fair 9.48 · @6.00
2.00Expected goals
1.57St. Truiden xG
0.43Lommel United xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
2–017%
0–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: St. Truiden 1.6 – 0.4 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Truiden to win ✓67%1.501.40
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✓89%1.121.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.65
Draw no betSt. Truiden (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapSt. Truiden -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
First team to scoreSt. Truiden to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.96–

Recent results

St. Truiden – last 6

WLLLWL
15 Octvs FC Iberia 19992–0W
11 Oct@ KV Mechelen3–4L
20 Sepvs KVC Westerlo0–2L
12 Sep@ SK Beveren0–2L
5 Sepvs RAAL La Louvière4–0W
2 Sepvs Union St. Gilloise0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lommel United – last 6

WWDLLW
9 Oct@ SK Beveren3–1W
26 Sep@ Diksmuide2–0W
19 Sepvs KV Mechelen0–0D
12 Sep@ Union St. Gilloise0–5L
4 Sepvs Club Brugge KV0–1L
29 Aug@ Cercle Brugge1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026St. Truiden v Lommel United1–1
St. Truiden vs Lommel United head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT KV Mechelen5 AS Eupen1 157%1.70X22%3.80221%3.80 0.8–0.2xG 1XKV Mechelen or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Rochefort3 Gent3 Pens 4–3 14%36.00X15%12.00282%1.05 1.2–3.8xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

Our pick is St. Truiden to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

On our numbers St. Truiden have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lommel United 11%.

How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is St. Truiden vs Lommel United?

St. Truiden vs Lommel United (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.