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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Excelsior Virton v Genk: numbers & prediction

Cup · Belgium

Excelsior Virton

LWDWL
0–2
FT

Genk

WLLDD
Excelsior Virton 17%Draw 22%Genk 61% Expected goals 0.98 – 2.02
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultGenk to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceGenk or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Excelsior Virton vs Genk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Cup brings Excelsior Virton against Genk. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Excelsior Virton, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Sporting Hasselt, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Genk, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kortrijk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior Virton 1.0 xG, Genk 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior Virton 17%, draw 22%, Genk 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior Virton 1–2 Genk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Excelsior Virton17%fair 5.84 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.90
Genk61%fair 1.64 · @1.44
3.00Expected goals
0.98Excelsior Virton xG
2.02Genk xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 1.0 – 2.0 Genk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGenk to win ✓61%1.641.44
Double chanceGenk or draw ✓83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.67
Draw no betGenk (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapGenk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreGenk to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultGenk ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Genk / FT Genk ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Excelsior Virton – last 6

LWDWLW
10 Octvs Sporting Hasselt3–4L
26 Sep@ Oostkamp3–0W
20 Sep@ Lokeren-Temse1–1D
12 Sepvs KRC Genk II3–0W
30 Augvs Francs Borains0–1L
21 Aug@ RSC Anderlecht II1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Genk – last 6

WLLDDW
10 Octvs Kortrijk3–0W
3 Octvs Fortuna Sittard1–2L
20 Sep@ Club Brugge KV0–3L
13 Sepvs Gent1–1D
6 Sep@ Anderlecht0–0D
28 Augvs SK Beveren4–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Virton and Genk.

Excelsior Virton vs Genk head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Heist0 Antwerp1 113%9.00X19%5.00268%1.25 1.6–3.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.75 ✗
FT OH Leuven1 Francs Borains0 160%1.50X22%4.00217%5.00 0.8–0.2xG 1OH Leuven to win 60%@1.50 ✓
FT Albert Quévy-Mons0 Charleroi0 AET 0–1 19%12.00X16%5.80274%1.20 1.1–2.9xG 2Charleroi to win 74%@1.20 ✗
FT Club Brugge KV1 Lokeren-Temse0 177%1.08X15%9.0029%23.00 3.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@2.05 ✗
FT RAAL La Louvière4 Liège0 158%1.67X21%3.80221%3.90 3.1–1.9xG 1XRAAL La Louvière or draw 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Zulte Waregem3 Seraing United0 169%1.40X21%4.20210%6.00 4.6–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Genk?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Genk?

On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Genk 61%.

How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs Genk?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs Genk?

Our predicted score is Excelsior Virton 1–2 Genk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Excelsior Virton vs Genk?

Excelsior Virton vs Genk (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.