Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Atletico Torque vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Torque welcome Danubio to Estadio Centenario for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Friday 9 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Danubio are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Torque, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Nacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Danubio, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cerro Largo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Atletico Torque 2–0 Danubio. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atletico Torque 2 wins, Danubio 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.8 xG, Danubio 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 61%, draw 26%, Danubio 14%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Torque or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Atletico Torque to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Torque or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Torque61%fair 1.64 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
Danubio14%fair 7.39 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.77Atletico Torque xG
0.73Danubio xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.8 – 0.7 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our pick is Atletico Torque or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Danubio 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Atletico Torque vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
