Value bet: Draw @ 4.04 – our chance 35% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMorocco U23 to win44% · @1.47
Double chanceMorocco U23 or draw79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.50
Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Morocco U23 travel to face Ethiopia U23 on Thursday 12 November in the CAF U23 Cup Of Nations – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia U23 1.1 xG, Morocco U23 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia U23 21%, draw 35%, Morocco U23 44%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Draw @4.04 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 35%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia U23 1–1 Morocco U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopia U2321%fair 4.72 · @5.43
Draw35%fair 2.88 · @4.04
Morocco U2344%fair 2.27 · @1.47
2.78Expected goals
1.14Ethiopia U23 xG
1.64Morocco U23 xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ethiopia U23 1.1 – 1.6 Morocco U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco U23 to win
44%
2.27
1.47
Double chance
Morocco U23 or draw
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.82
Draw no bet
Morocco U23 (draw no bet)
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopia U23 +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Morocco U23 to score first
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morocco U23 / FT Morocco U23
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Ethiopia U23
No recent results on record.
Morocco U23 – last 1
D
1 Oct
vs Mali U23
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia U23 and Morocco U23.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23?
On our numbers Ethiopia U23 have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Morocco U23 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia U23 1–1 Morocco U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23?
Ethiopia U23 vs Morocco U23 (CAF U23 Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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