Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.23 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultClub America to win ✗46% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.33
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Monday 5 October: Guadalajara Chivas v Club America in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Queretaro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Club America, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Necaxa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Club America.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Club America 2–2 Guadalajara Chivas. The last 2 head-to-heads: Guadalajara Chivas 1 win, Club America 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 0.9 xG, Club America 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 34%, draw 20%, Club America 46%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.23 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.43 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Club America. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas34%fair 2.96 · @3.12
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.78
Club America46%fair 2.16 · @2.04
2.01Expected goals
0.88Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.13Club America xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–013%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 0.9 – 1.1 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Club America 46%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
