Value bet: Jalapa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJalapa to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Jalapa vs UNAN Managua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Primera Division brings Jalapa against UNAN Managua. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Jalapa are 8th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 16 matches; UNAN Managua are 4th (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Jalapa, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Estelí, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
UNAN Managua, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over San Marcos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours UNAN Managua, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Jalapa.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended UNAN Managua 2–1 Jalapa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Jalapa 1 win, UNAN Managua 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jalapa 1.5 xG, UNAN Managua 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jalapa 55%, draw 22%, UNAN Managua 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Jalapa to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jalapa 1–1 UNAN Managua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jalapa55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
UNAN Managua23%fair 4.31 · @3.30
2.31Expected goals
1.48Jalapa xG
0.83UNAN Managua xG
57%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Jalapa 1.5 – 0.8 UNAN Managua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jalapa vs UNAN Managua?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Jalapa vs UNAN Managua?
On our numbers Jalapa have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UNAN Managua 23%.
How many goals will there be in Jalapa vs UNAN Managua?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jalapa vs UNAN Managua?
Our predicted score is Jalapa 1–1 UNAN Managua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Jalapa vs UNAN Managua?
Jalapa vs UNAN Managua (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
