Hong Kong 67%Draw 20%Cambodia 13%Expected goals 2.00 – 0.75
67%
Betarazi pick
Hong Kong to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultHong Kong to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceHong Kong or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Hong Kong vs Cambodia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hong Kong welcome Cambodia to Kai Tak Sports Park for a fixture on Saturday 3 October (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Hong Kong, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Brunei, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cambodia, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Timor-Leste, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Hong Kong, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Cambodia.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Jun 2026) it ended Cambodia 2–0 Hong Kong.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hong Kong 2.0 xG, Cambodia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hong Kong 67%, draw 20%, Cambodia 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hong Kong to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hong Kong 1–0 Cambodia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hong Kong67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.60
Cambodia13%fair 7.41 · @5.80
2.75Expected goals
2.00Hong Kong xG
0.75Cambodia xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Hong Kong 2.0 – 0.8 Cambodia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Hong Kong to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Hong Kong vs Cambodia?
On our numbers Hong Kong have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cambodia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Hong Kong vs Cambodia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hong Kong vs Cambodia?
Our predicted score is Hong Kong 1–0 Cambodia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hong Kong vs Cambodia?
Hong Kong vs Cambodia () kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kai Tak Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
