Saudi Arabia 60%Draw 22%Qatar 18%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.52
60%
Betarazi pick
Saudi Arabia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSaudi Arabia to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceSaudi Arabia or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.76
Saudi Arabia vs Qatar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Saudi Arabia v Qatar in the Gulf Cup Of Nations. In the table, Saudi Arabia are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Qatar are 2nd with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Saudi Arabia, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Iraq, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Qatar, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with United Arab Emirates, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Saudi Arabia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Qatar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saudi Arabia 1.3 xG, Qatar 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saudi Arabia 60%, draw 22%, Qatar 18%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saudi Arabia to win (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saudi Arabia 1–0 Qatar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saudi Arabia60%fair 1.67 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Qatar18%fair 5.45 · @5.50
1.83Expected goals
1.31Saudi Arabia xG
0.52Qatar xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Saudi Arabia 1.3 – 0.5 Qatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saudi Arabia to win✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Double chance
Saudi Arabia or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Draw no bet
Saudi Arabia (draw no bet)
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Qatar +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Saudi Arabia to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saudi Arabia / FT Saudi Arabia✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.76
–
Recent results
Saudi Arabia – last 6
WWWDLD
29 Sep
vs Iraq
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Oman
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs Kuwait
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Spain
0–4
L
15 Jun
vs Uruguay
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Qatar – last 6
DWWLLD
30 Sep
@ United Arab Emirates
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Yemen
1–0
W
24 Sep
vs Bahrain
2–0
W
24 Jun
@ Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–3
L
18 Jun
@ Canada
0–6
L
13 Jun
vs Switzerland
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
Our pick is Saudi Arabia to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
On our numbers Saudi Arabia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Qatar 18%.
How many goals will there be in Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
Our predicted score is Saudi Arabia 1–0 Qatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
Saudi Arabia vs Qatar (Gulf Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
United Arab Emirates1