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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penarol v Atletico Torque: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay

Penarol

DLDWD
0–2
FT
Penarol 45%Draw 23%Atletico Torque 32% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.19
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultPenarol to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08

Penarol vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Penarol welcome Atletico Torque for a Copa Uruguay fixture on Tuesday 27 October (23:30 WAT).

Current form

Penarol, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juventud, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Atletico Torque, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cerro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Oct 2026) it ended Atletico Torque 1–1 Penarol. The last 2 head-to-heads: Penarol 1 win, Atletico Torque 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penarol 1.5 xG, Atletico Torque 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penarol 45%, draw 23%, Atletico Torque 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penarol 1–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penarol45%fair 2.22 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Atletico Torque32%fair 3.15 · @2.80
2.67Expected goals
1.48Penarol xG
1.19Atletico Torque xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Penarol 1.5 – 1.2 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPenarol to win ✗45%2.222.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.57
Draw no betPenarol (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapAtletico Torque +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scorePenarol to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Penarol / FT Penarol ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.08–

Recent results

Penarol – last 6

DLDWDW
24 Oct@ Juventud0–0D
18 Oct@ Liverpool Montevideo0–1L
10 Octvs Progreso1–1D
4 Oct@ Racing Montevideo1–0W
1 Oct@ Atletico Torque1–1D
26 Sepvs Boston River2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Atletico Torque – last 6

WWLLWL
25 Octvs Cerro3–1W
21 Octvs Atletico-MG2–0W
18 Oct@ Albion FC1–2L
14 Oct@ Atletico-MG0–3L
9 Octvs Danubio1–0W
6 Oct@ Club Nacional0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Atletico Torque v Penarol1–1
27 Aug 2026Penarol v Atletico Torque1–0
Penarol vs Atletico Torque head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penarol vs Atletico Torque?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Penarol vs Atletico Torque?

On our numbers Penarol have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Torque 32%.

How many goals will there be in Penarol vs Atletico Torque?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penarol vs Atletico Torque?

Our predicted score is Penarol 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Penarol vs Atletico Torque?

Penarol vs Atletico Torque (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.