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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerrito v Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Copa Uruguay · Uruguay

Cerrito

WLWDD
2–2
FTPens 3–4
Cerrito 47%Draw 23%Wanderers 30% Expected goals 1.78 – 1.39
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerrito to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Cerrito vs Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Wednesday 7 October: Cerrito v Wanderers in the Copa Uruguay.

Current form

Cerrito, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Plaza Colonia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Wanderers, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cerro, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cerrito, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Wanderers.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Wanderers 1–3 Cerrito.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.8 xG, Wanderers 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 47%, draw 23%, Wanderers 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–1 Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerrito47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Wanderers30%fair 3.30 · @3.25
3.17Expected goals
1.78Cerrito xG
1.39Wanderers xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cerrito 1.8 – 1.4 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerrito to win ✗47%2.142.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.85 ▲
Draw no betCerrito (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapWanderers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreCerrito to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerrito / FT Cerrito ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Cerrito – last 6

WLWDDW
4 Oct@ Plaza Colonia3–1W
27 Sepvs La Luz1–2L
24 Sep@ Wanderers3–1W
20 Sepvs CA River Plate1–1D
13 Sep@ Atenas0–0D
10 Sep@ Cerro2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wanderers – last 6

WWLDDL
4 Oct@ Cerro2–0W
29 Sepvs Albion FC2–1W
24 Sepvs Cerrito1–3L
20 Sep@ Danubio1–1D
12 Sepvs Club Nacional1–1D
10 Sep@ Deportivo Maldonado1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Wanderers v Cerrito1–3
Cerrito vs Wanderers head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Wanderers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Cerrito vs Wanderers?

On our numbers Cerrito have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wanderers 30%.

How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Wanderers?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Cerrito vs Wanderers?

Cerrito vs Wanderers (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.