Liverpool Montevideo 62%Draw 23%Cerro Largo 16%Expected goals 1.46 – 0.54
62%
Betarazi pick
Liverpool Montevideo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.07
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liverpool Montevideo welcome Cerro Largo to Estadio Belvedere for a Copa Uruguay fixture on Wednesday 21 October (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Penarol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cerro Largo, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Liverpool Montevideo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Cerro Largo.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Cerro Largo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. The last 3 head-to-heads: Liverpool Montevideo 1 win, Cerro Largo 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.5 xG, Cerro Largo 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 62%, draw 23%, Cerro Largo 16%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Liverpool Montevideo to win (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool Montevideo62%fair 1.63 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Cerro Largo16%fair 6.41 · @5.50
2.00Expected goals
1.46Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.54Cerro Largo xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.5 – 0.5 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
62%
1.63
1.60
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.67
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Largo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerro Largo 16%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
