Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventud travel to face Plaza Colonia on Thursday 8 October in the Copa Uruguay, with Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Plaza Colonia, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cerrito, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Juventud, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Boston River, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plaza Colonia 1.2 xG, Juventud 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plaza Colonia 39%, draw 25%, Juventud 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Plaza Colonia to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plaza Colonia 1–1 Juventud. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plaza Colonia39%fair 2.57 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Juventud36%fair 2.74 · @2.30
2.33Expected goals
1.19Plaza Colonia xG
1.14Juventud xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.2 – 1.1 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✗
39%
2.57
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Plaza Colonia (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Juventud +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Plaza Colonia to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.73
–
Recent results
Plaza Colonia – last 6
LWDDLW
4 Oct
vs Cerrito
1–3
L
30 Sep
@ Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Atenas
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Rentistas
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Juventud – last 6
DDWLWD
4 Oct
@ Boston River
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Cerro
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Racing Montevideo
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Danubio
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plaza Colonia and Juventud.
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventud 36%.
How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Plaza Colonia vs Juventud?
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
