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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Malkiya v Al Riffa: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Bahrain

Malkiya

LLLLW
1–1
FT
Malkiya 11%Draw 18%Al Riffa 71% Expected goals 0.45 – 1.72
71%
Betarazi pick

Al Riffa to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Riffa to win ✗71% · @1.30
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.10

Malkiya vs Al Riffa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the Premier League brings Malkiya against Al Riffa. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Malkiya are 12th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 7 matches; Al Riffa are 1st (leading the league) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Malkiya, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to A'Ali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Al Riffa, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Khalidiya, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Al Riffa, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.6 for Malkiya.

Head to head

When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Malkiya 0–2 Al Riffa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Malkiya 0.5 xG, Al Riffa 1.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Malkiya 11%, draw 18%, Al Riffa 71%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al Riffa to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malkiya 0–1 Al Riffa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Malkiya11%fair 9.03 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.20
Al Riffa71%fair 1.42 · @1.30
2.17Expected goals
0.45Malkiya xG
1.72Al Riffa xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–120%
0–217%
0–011%
0–310%
1–19%
1–28%

From our goals model: Malkiya 0.5 – 1.7 Al Riffa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Riffa to win ✗71%1.421.30
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓89%1.121.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.801.57
Draw no betAl Riffa (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapAl Riffa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreAl Riffa to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultAl Riffa ahead at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Riffa / FT Al Riffa ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20%5.10–

Recent results

Malkiya – last 5

LLLLW
11 Sep@ A'Ali0–1L
2 Sepvs Al Najma0–1L
27 Aug@ Sitra0–3L
11 Mayvs Al Riffa0–2L
28 Aprvs Al Najma3–0W
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Al Riffa – last 6

DWWWWW
10 Sepvs Khalidiya0–0D
5 Sep@ Manama5–1W
29 Augvs Al Ittifaq Maqaba2–0W
11 May@ Malkiya2–0W
5 Mayvs Al Shabab4–0W
29 Apr@ Al Ahli3–2W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 May 2026Malkiya v Al Riffa0–2
Malkiya vs Al Riffa head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa7430+1115
2Khalidiya7430+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7421+514
4Muharraq7322+411
5Al Ahli723209
6East Riffa7223-58
7Sitra7223-28
8Al Najma7223-48
9A'Ali7223-38
10Al-Hidd714207
11Manama7133-56
12Malkiya7025-112

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malkiya vs Al Riffa?

Our pick is Al Riffa to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Malkiya vs Al Riffa?

On our numbers Malkiya have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al Riffa 71%.

How many goals will there be in Malkiya vs Al Riffa?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malkiya vs Al Riffa?

Our predicted score is Malkiya 0–1 Al Riffa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Malkiya vs Al Riffa?

Malkiya vs Al Riffa (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.