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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Riffa v A'Ali: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Bahrain
2–1
FT

A'Ali

WLDWL
East Riffa 43%Draw 25%A'Ali 32% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.06
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.05Odds
2

Value bet: A'Ali to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEast Riffa to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.99

East Riffa vs A'Ali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

A'Ali travel to face East Riffa on Sunday 11 October in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, East Riffa are 6th, upper half, on 8 points after 7 matches; A'Ali are 9th (lower half) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

East Riffa, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al Najma, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

A'Ali, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Malkiya, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Riffa 1.3 xG, A'Ali 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Riffa 43%, draw 25%, A'Ali 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: A'Ali to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Riffa 1–1 A'Ali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Riffa43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
A'Ali32%fair 3.11 · @3.40
2.33Expected goals
1.27East Riffa xG
1.06A'Ali xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: East Riffa 1.3 – 1.1 A'Ali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEast Riffa to win ✓43%2.332.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.882.05 ▲
Draw no betEast Riffa (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapA'Ali +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreEast Riffa to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT East Riffa / FT East Riffa ✓24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.99–

Recent results

East Riffa – last 3

WDL
11 Sep@ Al Najma3–2W
2 Sepvs Sitra0–0D
28 Augvs Al-Hidd0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

A'Ali – last 6

WLDWLL
11 Sepvs Malkiya1–0W
4 Sep@ Khalidiya1–3L
29 Augvs Manama1–1D
4 May@ Al-Hidd1–0W
27 Aprvs Sitra0–2L
17 Apr@ Al Riffa0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between East Riffa and A'Ali.

East Riffa vs A'Ali head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa7430+1115
2Khalidiya7430+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7421+514
4Muharraq7322+411
5Al Ahli723209
6East Riffa7223-58
7Sitra7223-28
8Al Najma7223-48
9A'Ali7223-38
10Al-Hidd714207
11Manama7133-56
12Malkiya7025-112

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Riffa vs A'Ali?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win East Riffa vs A'Ali?

On our numbers East Riffa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and A'Ali 32%.

How many goals will there be in East Riffa vs A'Ali?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Riffa vs A'Ali?

Our predicted score is East Riffa 1–1 A'Ali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is East Riffa vs A'Ali?

East Riffa vs A'Ali (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.