Al Najma 41%Draw 23%A'Ali 36%Expected goals 1.71 – 1.59
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
2
Value bet: A'Ali to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Najma to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Al Najma vs A'Ali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: Al Najma v A'Ali in the Premier League. In the table, Al Najma are 8th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; A'Ali are 9th (lower half) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Najma, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al-Hidd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
A'Ali, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sitra, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Najma, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for A'Ali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najma 1.7 xG, A'Ali 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najma 41%, draw 23%, A'Ali 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: A'Ali to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najma 1–1 A'Ali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najma41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
A'Ali36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
3.30Expected goals
1.71Al Najma xG
1.59A'Ali xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.7 – 1.6 A'Ali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
41%
2.45
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Al Najma (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
A'Ali +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Al Najma to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Al Najma – last 6
DWLWLW
17 Oct
vs Al-Hidd
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Sitra
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs East Riffa
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Malkiya
1–0
W
27 Aug
vs Khalidiya
2–7
L
30 May
vs Manama
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
A'Ali – last 6
LLWLDW
16 Oct
vs Sitra
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ East Riffa
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Malkiya
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Khalidiya
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Manama
1–1
D
4 May
@ Al-Hidd
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and A'Ali.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Al Najma vs A'Ali?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and A'Ali 36%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs A'Ali?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs A'Ali?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 A'Ali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs A'Ali?
Al Najma vs A'Ali (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
