Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Waterhouse to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWaterhouse to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Chapelton vs Waterhouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the Premier League brings Chapelton against Waterhouse at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex. Kick-off: 23:05 WAT. In the table, Chapelton are 10th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Waterhouse are 2nd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Chapelton, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tivoli Gardens, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Waterhouse, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Treasure Beach, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Waterhouse, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Chapelton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chapelton 0.8 xG, Waterhouse 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chapelton 14%, draw 21%, Waterhouse 64%.
Lower-risk option: Waterhouse or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Waterhouse to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waterhouse or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapelton 0–1 Waterhouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chapelton14%fair 6.97 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Waterhouse64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
2.80Expected goals
0.82Chapelton xG
1.98Waterhouse xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Chapelton 0.8 – 2.0 Waterhouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waterhouse to win✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Waterhouse or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Waterhouse (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Waterhouse -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Waterhouse to score first✓
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Waterhouse ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waterhouse / FT Waterhouse✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Chapelton – last 6
DWLLLW
27 Sep
@ Tivoli Gardens
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Molynes United
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Montego Bay United
0–2
L
6 May
vs Arnett Gardens
2–7
L
24 Apr
@ Mount Pleasant Academy
2–5
L
15 Apr
@ Treasure Beach
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Waterhouse – last 6
WWLDWL
28 Sep
vs Treasure Beach
2–0
W
21 Sep
@ Humble Lions
5–0
W
14 May
vs Cavalier
0–2
L
11 May
@ Cavalier
2–2
D
6 May
vs Dunbeholden
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ Mount Pleasant Academy
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapelton and Waterhouse.
What is the prediction for Chapelton vs Waterhouse?
Our pick is Waterhouse or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chapelton vs Waterhouse?
On our numbers Chapelton have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterhouse 64%.
How many goals will there be in Chapelton vs Waterhouse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapelton vs Waterhouse?
Our predicted score is Chapelton 0–1 Waterhouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chapelton vs Waterhouse?
Chapelton vs Waterhouse (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 23:05 (West Africa Time) at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
