Sestao River 61%Draw 25%Salamanca UDS 14%Expected goals 2.35 – 1.14
61%
Betarazi pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54% · @2.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salamanca UDS travel to face Sestao River on Wednesday 14 October in the Copa Federacion – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.
Current form
Sestao River, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gimnástica Torrelavega, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Salamanca UDS, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over SS Reyes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sestao River 2.4 xG, Salamanca UDS 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sestao River 61%, draw 25%, Salamanca UDS 14%.
Lower-risk option: Sestao River or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestao River 2–1 Salamanca UDS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sestao River61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.20
Salamanca UDS14%fair 7.13 · @4.75
3.50Expected goals
2.35Sestao River xG
1.14Salamanca UDS xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sestao River 2.4 – 1.1 Salamanca UDS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Sestao River -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Sestao River ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Sestao River – last 6
DWWWLW
10 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
30 Sep
vs Terrassa
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Compostela
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salamanca UDS – last 6
WLWWLD
10 Oct
vs SS Reyes
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–2
L
1 Oct
@ UD Santa Marta
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs RSD Alcalá
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Conquense
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Derio
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Salamanca UDS.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Salamanca UDS 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 2–1 Salamanca UDS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativo Huelva2
Navalcarnero2