Indonesia 56%Draw 23%Thailand 21%Expected goals 2.29 – 1.38
79%
Betarazi pick
Indonesia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndonesia to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceIndonesia or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Indonesia vs Thailand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 5 October the brings Indonesia against Thailand at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Indonesia, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 9–2 win over Bangladesh, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Thailand, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Philippines, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Indonesia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Thailand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indonesia 2.3 xG, Thailand 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indonesia 56%, draw 23%, Thailand 21%.
Lower-risk option: Indonesia or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Indonesia or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indonesia 2–1 Thailand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indonesia56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Thailand21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
3.67Expected goals
2.29Indonesia xG
1.38Thailand xG
60%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Indonesia 2.3 – 1.4 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indonesia to win✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Indonesia or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Indonesia (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Thailand +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Indonesia to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Indonesia ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indonesia / FT Indonesia✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Indonesia – last 6
WDWDLW
1 Oct
vs Bangladesh
9–2
W
28 Sep
@ Malaysia
0–0
D
25 Sep
vs Singapore
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Singapore
1–1
D
3 Aug
vs Vietnam
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Thailand – last 6
LWWDLL
2 Oct
vs Philippines
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Vietnam
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Pakistan
4–0
W
26 Aug
@ Vietnam
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Vietnam
0–2
L
18 Aug
vs Singapore
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Thailand.
Our pick is Indonesia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Indonesia vs Thailand?
On our numbers Indonesia have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thailand 21%.
How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Thailand?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Thailand?
Our predicted score is Indonesia 2–1 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Indonesia vs Thailand?
Indonesia vs Thailand () kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
