Koléa v Mostaganem Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMostaganem to win ✓41% · @2.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.37

Koléa vs Mostaganem: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mostaganem travel to face Koléa on Tuesday 13 October in the Ligue 2 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Koléa are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 8 matches; Mostaganem are 4th (among the top four) with 15.

Current form

Koléa, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Blida, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Mostaganem, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to GC Mascara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Koléa 1.0 xG, Mostaganem 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Koléa 35%, draw 24%, Mostaganem 41%.
Price worth noting: Mostaganem to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Koléa 0–1 Mostaganem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Koléa35%fair 2.86 · @2.30

Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90

Mostaganem41%fair 2.45 · @2.90

2.10Expected goals

0.99Koléa xG

1.10Mostaganem xG

43%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–012%

1–012%

0–27%

1–27%

From our goals model: Koléa 1.0 – 1.1 Mostaganem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mostaganem to win ✓	41%	2.45	2.90 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	57%	1.74	–
Draw no bet	Mostaganem (draw no bet) ✓	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Koléa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	94%	1.07	–
First team to score	Mostaganem to score first	46%	2.16	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.06	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mostaganem / FT Mostaganem ✗	21%	4.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	14%	7.37	–

Koléa – last 6

LWLLLL

9 Oct	@ Blida	0–1	L
3 Oct	vs El Bayadh	1–0	W
19 Sep	vs RC Kouba	0–3	L
8 May	vs Hussein Dey	1–3	L
1 May	@ WA Tlemcen	0–2	L
10 Apr	@ MC Saida	0–2	L

0.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Mostaganem – last 6

LDWLDL

9 Oct	vs GC Mascara	0–1	L
3 Oct	@ Sidi Benali	2–2	D
26 Sep	vs Hussein Dey	1–0	W
19 Sep	vs Blida	1–2	L
5 Jun	vs El Bayadh	2–2	D
19 May	@ Ben Aknoun	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GC Mascara	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Blida	9	6	3	0	+10	21
3	RC Kouba	9	5	4	0	+14	19
4	Mostaganem	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	MC Saida	8	4	3	1	+3	15
6	Usm El Harrach	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	Sidi Benali	9	4	2	3	0	14
8	ASM Oran	9	3	4	2	+6	13
9	Hussein Dey	9	4	0	5	-4	12
10	WA Mostaganem	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	WA Tlemcen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	RC Arba	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Tiaret	9	1	4	4	+1	7
14	Koléa	8	2	0	6	-8	6
15	El Bayadh	9	0	4	5	-7	4
16	Taghit	9	0	1	8	-26	1

Team

Pts

+13

+10

+14

-4

-1

-4

-2

-8

-7

-26

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Koléa vs Mostaganem?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Koléa vs Mostaganem?

On our numbers Koléa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mostaganem 41%.

How many goals will there be in Koléa vs Mostaganem?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Koléa vs Mostaganem?

Our predicted score is Koléa 0–1 Mostaganem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Koléa vs Mostaganem?

Koléa vs Mostaganem (Ligue 2) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Koléa v Mostaganem: numbers & prediction