Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.62 – our chance 68% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6% · fair 16.20
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Etar Veliko Tarnovo welcome Spartak Varna for a Cup fixture on Monday 19 October (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Etar Veliko Tarnovo, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fratria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Spartak Varna, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botev Vratsa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Etar Veliko Tarnovo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Spartak Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2.0 xG, Spartak Varna 3.0 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Etar Veliko Tarnovo 20%, draw 25%, Spartak Varna 56%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Varna or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 68%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartak Varna or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–3 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Etar Veliko Tarnovo20%fair 5.13 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Spartak Varna56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
5.00Expected goals
1.96Etar Veliko Tarnovo xG
3.04Spartak Varna xG
68%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–36%
1–26%
2–36%
2–26%
1–45%
2–45%
From our goals model: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2.0 – 3.0 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Varna to win✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Spartak Varna or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Spartak Varna (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Etar Veliko Tarnovo +2 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
First team to score
Spartak Varna to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Spartak Varna ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
6%
16.20
–
Recent results
Etar Veliko Tarnovo – last 6
WWLLWL
9 Oct
vs Fratria
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Chernomorets Balchik
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
2–4
L
14 Sep
@ Hebar 1918
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia II
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Vihren
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
WLDDDL
10 Oct
@ Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Slavia Sofia
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Ludogorets
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–6
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Spartak Varna or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Varna 56%.
How many goals will there be in Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–3 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna (Cup) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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