Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Difaa EL Jadida v Moghreb Tetouan in the Botola Pro. In the table, Difaa EL Jadida are 11th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Moghreb Tetouan are 15th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Difaa EL Jadida, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Amal Tiznit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Moghreb Tetouan, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FUS Rabat, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Moghreb Tetouan, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Difaa EL Jadida.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Difaa EL Jadida 1.9 xG, Moghreb Tetouan 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Difaa EL Jadida 58%, draw 21%, Moghreb Tetouan 21%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Moghreb Tetouan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Difaa EL Jadida58%fair 1.72 · @1.64
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.69
Moghreb Tetouan21%fair 4.80 · @4.38
2.91Expected goals
1.89Difaa EL Jadida xG
1.02Moghreb Tetouan xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Difaa EL Jadida 1.9 – 1.0 Moghreb Tetouan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Difaa EL Jadida to win✓
58%
1.72
1.64
Double chance
Difaa EL Jadida or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Difaa EL Jadida (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Moghreb Tetouan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.86
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Difaa EL Jadida to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Difaa EL Jadida ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Difaa EL Jadida / FT Difaa EL Jadida✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Difaa EL Jadida – last 6
WLLLDD
10 Oct
@ Amal Tiznit
5–2
W
3 Oct
vs Wydad AC
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs CODM Meknès
2–6
L
5 Jul
vs Renaissance Berkane
1–3
L
2 Jul
@ Yacoub El Mansour
2–2
D
28 Jun
vs Kawkab Marrakech
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Moghreb Tetouan – last 6
DDDWWD
9 Oct
vs FUS Rabat
0–0
D
2 Oct
@ Ittihad Tanger
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Renaissance Berkane
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Racing de Casablanca
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs Amal Tiznit
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ Chabab Ben Guerir
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan.
What is the prediction for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
On our numbers Difaa EL Jadida have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moghreb Tetouan 21%.
How many goals will there be in Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our predicted score is Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Moghreb Tetouan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan (Botola Pro) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
