Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Copa Paraguay brings Libertad Asuncion against Independiente F.b.c. at La Arboleda. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sportivo Luqueno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Independiente F.b.c., last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Tacuary, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 2.0 xG, Independiente F.b.c. 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 66%, draw 22%, Independiente F.b.c. 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Independiente F.b.c.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion66%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.50
Independiente F.b.c.12%fair 8.14 · @6.50
2.70Expected goals
1.96Libertad Asuncion xG
0.73Independiente F.b.c. xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 2.0 – 0.7 Independiente F.b.c. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
66%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Libertad Asuncion -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
WLDWLD
23 Oct
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Sportivo Trinidense
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Club Guarani
2–2
D
5 Oct
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–1
W
28 Sep
vs Olimpia
0–1
L
23 Sep
@ Fernando De La Mora
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independiente F.b.c. – last 6
LWWDLW
20 Oct
@ Tacuary
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Atlético Tembetary
3–0
W
6 Oct
@ Benjamín Aceval
3–2
W
30 Sep
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
25 Sep
vs Sportivo Carapeguá
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ 12 de Junio VH
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Independiente F.b.c..
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente F.b.c. 12%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Independiente F.b.c., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at La Arboleda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
