Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Alcazar vs Malaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Alcazar v Malaga in the Copa Del Rey.
Current form
Malaga, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alaves, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcazar 1.0 xG, Malaga 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcazar 5%, draw 89%, Malaga 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Malaga or draw (95%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcazar 0–1 Malaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcazar5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
Malaga6%fair 16.67
2.00Expected goals
0.99Alcazar xG
1.01Malaga xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Alcazar 1.0 – 1.0 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
89%
1.12
–
Double chance
Malaga or draw✓
95%
1.05
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Malaga (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Alcazar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Malaga to score first✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Recent results
Alcazar – last 2
WW
4 Oct
vs Talayuela
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Talayuela
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Malaga – last 6
DLDLLD
23 Oct
@ Alaves
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
2–5
L
9 Oct
vs Espanyol
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Getafe
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs Villarreal
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcazar and Malaga.
On our numbers Alcazar have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and Malaga 6%.
How many goals will there be in Alcazar vs Malaga?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcazar vs Malaga?
Our predicted score is Alcazar 0–1 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alcazar vs Malaga?
Alcazar vs Malaga (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.