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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alcazar v Malaga: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain
0–3
FT

Malaga

DLDLL
Alcazar 5%Draw 89%Malaga 6% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.01
95%
Betarazi pick

Malaga or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.05 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗89% · fair 1.12
Double chanceMalaga or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39

Alcazar vs Malaga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Alcazar v Malaga in the Copa Del Rey.

Current form

Malaga, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alaves, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alcazar 1.0 xG, Malaga 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alcazar 5%, draw 89%, Malaga 6%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Malaga or draw (95%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcazar 0–1 Malaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alcazar5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
Malaga6%fair 16.67
2.00Expected goals
0.99Alcazar xG
1.01Malaga xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Alcazar 1.0 – 1.0 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗89%1.12–
Double chanceMalaga or draw ✓95%1.05–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.71–
Draw no betMalaga (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapAlcazar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreMalaga to score first ✓44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗14%7.39–

Recent results

Alcazar – last 2

WW
4 Octvs Talayuela1–0W
27 Sep@ Talayuela2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Malaga – last 6

DLDLLD
23 Oct@ Alaves1–1D
18 Octvs Real Sociedad2–5L
9 Octvs Espanyol1–1D
20 Sep@ Getafe0–1L
17 Sepvs Villarreal1–3L
13 Sep@ Celta Vigo1–1D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alcazar and Malaga.

Alcazar vs Malaga head-to-head page →

More Copa Del Rey predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alcazar vs Malaga?

Our pick is Malaga or draw with a 95% chance.

Who will win Alcazar vs Malaga?

On our numbers Alcazar have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and Malaga 6%.

How many goals will there be in Alcazar vs Malaga?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alcazar vs Malaga?

Our predicted score is Alcazar 0–1 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Alcazar vs Malaga?

Alcazar vs Malaga (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.