Numancia v Oviedo: numbers & prediction

Numancia vs Oviedo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 29 October the Copa Del Rey brings Numancia against Oviedo at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Numancia, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Navalcarnero, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Oviedo, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Almeria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Oviedo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Numancia.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Numancia 14%, draw 23%, Oviedo 63%.
• Lower-risk option: Oviedo or draw (86%) at 1.25.
• Price worth noting: Oviedo to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Oviedo or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.