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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pinatar v Elche: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain
1–3
FT

Elche

WDDWL
Pinatar 5%Draw 89%Elche 6% Expected goals 2.73 – 2.77
97%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.03 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗89% · fair 1.12
Double chanceElche or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.46
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.11

Pinatar vs Elche: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Pinatar v Elche in the Copa Del Rey.

Current form

Elche, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rayo Vallecano, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pinatar 2.7 xG, Elche 2.8 xG – a total near 5.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 91% and GG at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pinatar 5%, draw 89%, Elche 6%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (97%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pinatar 2–2 Elche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pinatar5%fair 20.00
Draw89%fair 1.12
Elche6%fair 16.67
5.50Expected goals
2.73Pinatar xG
2.77Elche xG
68%Both score
91%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–26%
2–35%
3–25%
3–35%
1–24%
2–14%

From our goals model: Pinatar 2.7 – 2.8 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗89%1.12–
Double chanceElche or draw ✓95%1.05–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.46–
Draw no betElche (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapPinatar +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
First team to scoreElche to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultElche ahead at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elche / FT Elche ✗26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%17.11–

Recent results

Pinatar – last 2

WW
4 Oct@ Atlético Melilla3–0W
26 Sepvs Atlético Melilla8–0W
5.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Elche – last 6

WDDWLD
24 Oct@ Rayo Vallecano3–0W
17 Oct@ Villarreal0–0D
11 Octvs Celta Vigo0–0D
18 Sep@ Espanyol3–1W
15 Sepvs Real Madrid2–3L
12 Sep@ Athletic Club1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pinatar and Elche.

Pinatar vs Elche head-to-head page →

More Copa Del Rey predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pinatar vs Elche?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 97% chance.

Who will win Pinatar vs Elche?

On our numbers Pinatar have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 89% and Elche 6%.

How many goals will there be in Pinatar vs Elche?

We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pinatar vs Elche?

Our predicted score is Pinatar 2–2 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.

When is Pinatar vs Elche?

Pinatar vs Elche (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.