Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: East Bengal II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEast Bengal II to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceEast Bengal II or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
East Bengal II travel to face ATK Mohun Bagan on Thursday 8 October in the IFA Shield, with Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT.
Current form
ATK Mohun Bagan, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Minerva Punjab, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
East Bengal II, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 7–2 win over NorthEast United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended ATK Mohun Bagan 1–1 East Bengal II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ATK Mohun Bagan 1.2 xG, East Bengal II 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ATK Mohun Bagan 17%, draw 20%, East Bengal II 63%.
Lower-risk option: East Bengal II or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: East Bengal II to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was East Bengal II or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–2 East Bengal II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ATK Mohun Bagan17%fair 5.74 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
East Bengal II63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
3.67Expected goals
1.24ATK Mohun Bagan xG
2.43East Bengal II xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–27%
0–16%
0–36%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 1.2 – 2.4 East Bengal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
Our pick is East Bengal II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and East Bengal II 63%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–2 East Bengal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II (IFA Shield) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
