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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atenas v Fundacion Amigos: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio 9 de Julio

Atenas

LDLLW
3–1
FT
Atenas 56%Draw 27%Fundacion Amigos 17% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.64
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtenas to win ✓56% · @1.83
Double chanceAtenas or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.55

Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atenas welcome Fundacion Amigos to Estadio 9 de Julio for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Saturday 17 October (23:30 WAT). In the table, Atenas are 18th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Fundacion Amigos are 21st (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atenas, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fundacion Amigos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Fundacion Amigos, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atenas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Fundacion Amigos, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Atenas.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Fundacion Amigos 2–0 Atenas. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atenas 0 wins, Fundacion Amigos 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.4 xG, Fundacion Amigos 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 56%, draw 27%, Fundacion Amigos 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atenas or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–0 Fundacion Amigos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atenas56%fair 1.79 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.90
Fundacion Amigos17%fair 6.01 · @4.20
2.07Expected goals
1.42Atenas xG
0.64Fundacion Amigos xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Atenas 1.4 – 0.6 Fundacion Amigos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtenas to win ✓56%1.791.83
Double chanceAtenas or draw ✓83%1.201.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.67
Draw no betAtenas (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapFundacion Amigos +1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.231.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreAtenas to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atenas / FT Atenas ✓33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.55–

Recent results

Atenas – last 6

LDLLWL
11 Oct@ Fundacion Amigos0–2L
4 Oct@ San Martin Formosa1–1D
27 Sepvs San Martin Formosa0–1L
20 Sep@ Huracan Las Heras0–1L
13 Sepvs Juventud Antoniana3–1W
6 Sep@ Alvarado2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fundacion Amigos – last 6

WDWDWW
11 Octvs Atenas2–0W
20 Sep@ Guillermo Brown0–0D
13 Sepvs Deportivo Rincon1–0W
6 Sepvs Germinal de Rawson1–1D
30 Aug@ San Martín Mendoza2–0W
23 Augvs Sol de Mayo2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Fundacion Amigos v Atenas2–0
5 Jul 2026Atenas v Fundacion Amigos1–3
Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?

On our numbers Atenas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fundacion Amigos 17%.

How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?

Our predicted score is Atenas 1–0 Fundacion Amigos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos?

Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Julio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.