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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Miramar v Cerrito: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Palermo

Miramar

LDWWW
1–0
FT

Cerrito

WDWLW
Miramar 36%Draw 25%Cerrito 39% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.19
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerrito to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.71

Miramar vs Cerrito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Segunda División brings Miramar against Cerrito at Parque Palermo. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Miramar are 12th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 25 matches; Cerrito are 8th (lower half) with 34.

Current form

Miramar, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Auckland City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Cerrito, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tacuarembo, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Cerrito 1–0 Miramar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miramar 1.1 xG, Cerrito 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miramar 36%, draw 25%, Cerrito 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miramar 1–1 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miramar36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Cerrito39%fair 2.58 · @2.40
2.34Expected goals
1.15Miramar xG
1.19Cerrito xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Miramar 1.1 – 1.2 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerrito to win ✗39%2.582.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.80
Draw no betCerrito (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapMiramar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreCerrito to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerrito / FT Cerrito ✗21%4.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.71–

Recent results

Miramar – last 6

LDWWWL
17 Octvs Auckland City0–2L
11 Oct@ Atenas1–1D
10 Oct@ Ferrymead Bays4–1W
3 Octvs Paysandu1–0W
3 Octvs Auckland FC 22–1W
28 Sep@ Sportivo Huracan1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cerrito – last 6

WDWLWD
10 Octvs Tacuarembo2–1W
7 Octvs Wanderers2–2D
4 Oct@ Plaza Colonia3–1W
27 Sepvs La Luz1–2L
24 Sep@ Wanderers3–1W
20 Sepvs CA River Plate1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Cerrito v Miramar1–0
Miramar vs Cerrito head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miramar vs Cerrito?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Miramar vs Cerrito?

On our numbers Miramar have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerrito 39%.

How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Cerrito?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Cerrito?

Our predicted score is Miramar 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Miramar vs Cerrito?

Miramar vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.