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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oriental v Uruguay Montevideo: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Oriental 59%Draw 27%Uruguay Montevideo 14% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.71
59%
Betarazi pick

Oriental to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultOriental to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceOriental or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Monday 19 October: Oriental v Uruguay Montevideo in the Segunda División. In the table, Oriental are 6th, upper half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Uruguay Montevideo are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Oriental, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CA River Plate, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Colón, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Oriental, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Uruguay Montevideo.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Oriental.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oriental 1.7 xG, Uruguay Montevideo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oriental 59%, draw 27%, Uruguay Montevideo 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Oriental or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Oriental to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriental 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oriental59%fair 1.70 · @1.70
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.10
Uruguay Montevideo14%fair 6.93 · @4.80
2.37Expected goals
1.66Oriental xG
0.71Uruguay Montevideo xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Oriental 1.7 – 0.7 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOriental to win ✗59%1.701.70
Double chanceOriental or draw ✓86%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.05
Draw no betOriental (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapOriental -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreOriental to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oriental / FT Oriental ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Oriental – last 6

LDWWDL
10 Oct@ CA River Plate1–3L
4 Oct@ Colón0–0D
26 Sepvs Fenix3–2W
20 Sep@ Rentistas2–0W
17 Sep@ Central Espanol1–1D
12 Sepvs Miramar1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Uruguay Montevideo – last 6

LLLLDL
10 Octvs Colón1–3L
4 Oct@ Fenix0–2L
26 Sepvs Rentistas1–3L
19 Sep@ Miramar0–1L
12 Sepvs Tacuarembo2–2D
7 Sep@ Plaza Colonia0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Uruguay Montevideo v Oriental1–1
Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Our pick is Oriental to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?

On our numbers Oriental have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Uruguay Montevideo 14%.

How many goals will there be in Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Oriental 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo?

Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.