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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Asia Talas v Toktogul: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kyrgyzstan
2–0
FT
Asia Talas 59%Draw 24%Toktogul 17% Expected goals 2.05 – 1.04
59%
Betarazi pick

Asia Talas to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultAsia Talas to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceAsia Talas or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 15.24

Asia Talas vs Toktogul: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the Premier League brings Asia Talas against Toktogul. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Asia Talas are 4th, among the top four, on 61 points after 30 matches; Toktogul are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Asia Talas, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Neftchi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Toktogul, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Talant, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Toktogul, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Asia Talas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Asia Talas 2.1 xG, Toktogul 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Asia Talas 59%, draw 24%, Toktogul 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Asia Talas or draw (83%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Asia Talas to win (59%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asia Talas 2–1 Toktogul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Asia Talas59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Toktogul17%fair 6.01 · @3.80
3.09Expected goals
2.05Asia Talas xG
1.04Toktogul xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Asia Talas 2.1 – 1.0 Toktogul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAsia Talas to win ✓59%1.701.73
Double chanceAsia Talas or draw ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.98–
Draw no betAsia Talas (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapAsia Talas -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreAsia Talas to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultAsia Talas ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Asia Talas / FT Asia Talas ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%15.24–

Recent results

Asia Talas – last 6

WWLDDD
19 Sepvs Neftchi3–2W
12 Sep@ Kara-Balta4–0W
7 Sepvs Alga1–2L
16 Augvs Bishkek City1–1D
11 Aug@ Ilbirs1–1D
6 Aug@ Muras United1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Toktogul – last 6

DDWWWW
4 Sepvs Talant1–1D
29 Augvs Kara-Balta1–1D
24 Augvs OshMU Aldier2–1W
18 Augvs Asiagoal3–2W
11 Augvs Alga1–0W
7 Augvs Ozgon3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Asia Talas and Toktogul.

Asia Talas vs Toktogul head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bars302145+4267
2Ozgon302037+2863
3Alga301884+2962
4Asia Talas301875+2561
5Muras United301686+2556
6Alay301389+547
7Neftchi3013314-342
8Talant3010911+739
9Bishkek City3091011-237
10Toktogul3011415-1237
11Dordoi Bishkek3010614+136
12Ilbirs3061113-2229
13OshMU Aldier307716-2628
14Asiagoal306915-1527
15Abdish-Ata305619-2921
16Kara-Balta302721-5313

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Asia Talas vs Toktogul?

Our pick is Asia Talas to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Asia Talas vs Toktogul?

On our numbers Asia Talas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toktogul 17%.

How many goals will there be in Asia Talas vs Toktogul?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Asia Talas vs Toktogul?

Our predicted score is Asia Talas 2–1 Toktogul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Asia Talas vs Toktogul?

Asia Talas vs Toktogul (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.