Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYarmouk to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceYarmouk or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.90
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.27
Yarmouk vs Burgan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:45 WAT, Wednesday 14 October: Yarmouk v Burgan in the Division 1. In the table, Yarmouk are 2nd on 7 points after 3 matches; Burgan are 5th with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Yarmouk, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al Sahel, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Burgan, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Sporty, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Aug 2026) it ended Yarmouk 3–1 Burgan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yarmouk 1.5 xG, Burgan 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yarmouk 67%, draw 23%, Burgan 10%.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yarmouk to win (67%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yarmouk 1–0 Burgan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yarmouk67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.70
Burgan10%fair 9.58 · @5.25
1.84Expected goals
1.47Yarmouk xG
0.37Burgan xG
32%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–017%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Yarmouk 1.5 – 0.4 Burgan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Yarmouk to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Yarmouk vs Burgan?
On our numbers Yarmouk have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burgan 10%.
How many goals will there be in Yarmouk vs Burgan?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Our predicted score is Yarmouk 1–0 Burgan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Yarmouk vs Burgan (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
