Jamaica vs Mexico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jamaica welcome Mexico for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Sunday 15 November (02:00 WAT).
Current form
Jamaica, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Honduras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mexico, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chile, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jamaica, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Mexico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jamaica 1.1 xG, Mexico 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jamaica 26%, draw 25%, Mexico 49%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jamaica 1–1 Mexico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jamaica26%fair 3.84 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.85
Mexico49%fair 2.03 · @1.59
2.49Expected goals
1.15Jamaica xG
1.34Mexico xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Jamaica 1.1 – 1.3 Mexico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win
49%
2.03
1.59
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Mexico (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Jamaica +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Mexico to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Jamaica – last 6
DWLWWD
6 Oct
@ Honduras
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ El Salvador
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Honduras
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Guatemala
3–2
W
27 May
vs India
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mexico – last 6
LLDDLW
7 Oct
vs Chile
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ USA
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Peru
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Colombia
1–1
D
6 Jul
vs England
2–3
L
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Mexico.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Jamaica vs Mexico?
On our numbers Jamaica have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mexico 49%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Mexico?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Mexico?
Our predicted score is Jamaica 1–1 Mexico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jamaica vs Mexico?
Jamaica vs Mexico (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
