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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SAT Moreno v Defensores Glew: numbers & prediction

3–3
FTPens
SAT Moreno 30%Draw 26%Defensores Glew 44% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.41
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.34Odds

Picks by market

ResultDefensores Glew to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · fair 1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.66

SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Torneo Promocional Amateur brings SAT Moreno against Defensores Glew. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, SAT Moreno are 1st, leading the league, on 33 points after 14 matches; Defensores Glew are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

SAT Moreno, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensores Glew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Defensores Glew, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SAT Moreno, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Defensores Glew, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for SAT Moreno.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Defensores Glew 1–1 SAT Moreno. The last 2 head-to-heads: SAT Moreno 0 wins, Defensores Glew 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SAT Moreno 1.1 xG, Defensores Glew 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SAT Moreno 30%, draw 26%, Defensores Glew 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: SAT Moreno 1–1 Defensores Glew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SAT Moreno30%fair 3.38 · @3.49
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.68
Defensores Glew44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
2.50Expected goals
1.09SAT Moreno xG
1.41Defensores Glew xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: SAT Moreno 1.1 – 1.4 Defensores Glew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDefensores Glew to win ✗44%2.252.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.35–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betDefensores Glew (draw no bet)60%1.67–
Asian handicapSAT Moreno +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreDefensores Glew to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Defensores Glew / FT Defensores Glew ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.66–

Recent results

SAT Moreno – last 6

DDDLLL
11 Oct@ Defensores Glew1–1D
5 Octvs Deportivo Metalurgico2–2D
29 Sep@ Deportivo Metalurgico1–1D
19 Sepvs Barrancas UMET0–1L
12 Sep@ Barrancas UMET0–2L
29 Augvs Deportivo Metalurgico1–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Defensores Glew – last 6

DLDWWW
11 Octvs SAT Moreno1–1D
4 Octvs Uribelarrea0–1L
19 Sepvs Buenos Aires City1–1D
14 Sep@ Buenos Aires City3–0W
30 Aug@ Atletico Pilar2–0W
22 Aug@ Provincial4–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Defensores Glew v SAT Moreno1–1
2 Aug 2026Defensores Glew v SAT Moreno2–0
SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew head-to-head page →

Torneo Promocional Amateur table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1SAT Moreno141103+1533
2Defensores Glew141022+2932
3Deportivo Metalurgico141022+2232
4Barrancas UMET16943+831
5Uribelarrea16853+829
6Ezeiza16754+126
7Buenos Aires City16745+525
8Nautico Hacoaj14734+1324
9Belgrano Zarate16574+122
10Alumni Los Hornos16538-318
11Control Orientado16538-518
12Estrella de Berisso14437-615
13Everton La Plata16358-714
14Las Mandarinas164210-814
15Atletico Pilar14239-139
16Juventud de Bernal142210-318
17Provincial142111-297

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew?

On our numbers SAT Moreno have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Defensores Glew 44%.

How many goals will there be in SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew?

Our predicted score is SAT Moreno 1–1 Defensores Glew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew?

SAT Moreno vs Defensores Glew (Torneo Promocional Amateur) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.