Value bet: Nouadhibou to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNouadhibou to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceNouadhibou or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓25% · fair 4.08
Nouadhibou vs SNIM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nouadhibou welcome SNIM for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 29 October (20:50 WAT). In the table, Nouadhibou are 4th, among the top four, on 8 points after 4 matches; SNIM are 12th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Nouadhibou, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San-Pédro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
SNIM, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nouakchott Academie, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nouadhibou 1.3 xG, SNIM 0.4 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nouadhibou 63%, draw 23%, SNIM 14%.
Price worth noting: Nouadhibou to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nouadhibou 1–0 SNIM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nouadhibou63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
SNIM14%fair 6.90 · @4.50
1.64Expected goals
1.27Nouadhibou xG
0.38SNIM xG
32%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nouadhibou 1.3 – 0.4 SNIM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nouadhibou to win✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Nouadhibou or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
–
Draw no bet
Nouadhibou (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
SNIM +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Nouadhibou to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nouadhibou / FT Nouadhibou✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
25%
4.08
–
Recent results
Nouadhibou – last 6
WLDDLD
25 Oct
vs San-Pédro
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ San-Pédro
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Vipers
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Vipers
1–1
D
17 May
@ Nouakchott King's
2–3
L
4 May
@ AC Douane
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SNIM – last 6
LWLLDD
24 May
@ Nouakchott Academie
1–2
L
20 May
@ Tevragh-Zeïne
2–0
W
11 May
vs Pompiers
0–1
L
6 May
@ Inter Nouakchott
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ksar
2–2
D
16 Feb
@ Gendrim
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nouadhibou and SNIM.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
On our numbers Nouadhibou have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SNIM 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
Our predicted score is Nouadhibou 1–0 SNIM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Nouadhibou vs SNIM?
Nouadhibou vs SNIM (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:50 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
