Sloboda Tuzla 14%Draw 21%Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 65%Expected goals 0.85 – 2.04
65%
Betarazi pick
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultZeljeznicar Sarajevo to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceZeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.69
Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo travel to face Sloboda Tuzla on Tuesday 27 October in the Cup – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.
Current form
Sloboda Tuzla, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stupčanica Olovo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FK Sarajevo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sloboda Tuzla, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0–3 Sloboda Tuzla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sloboda Tuzla 0.8 xG, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sloboda Tuzla 14%, draw 21%, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sloboda Tuzla 0–2 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sloboda Tuzla14%fair 7.09 · @4.75
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.75
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo65%fair 1.55 · @1.60
2.89Expected goals
0.85Sloboda Tuzla xG
2.04Zeljeznicar Sarajevo xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sloboda Tuzla 0.8 – 2.0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win✓
65%
1.55
1.60
Double chance
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo / FT Zeljeznicar Sarajevo✓
What is the prediction for Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Our pick is Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
On our numbers Sloboda Tuzla have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 65%.
How many goals will there be in Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Our predicted score is Sloboda Tuzla 0–2 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Sloboda Tuzla vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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