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Finland U21 v Republic of Ireland U21: numbers & prediction

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Tammelan Stadion
Fri 13 Nov 2026
Finland U21 48%Draw 23%Republic of Ireland U21 28% Expected goals 1.95 – 1.39
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultFinland U21 to win48% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.69

Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Finland U21 welcome Republic of Ireland U21 to Tammelan Stadion for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Friday 13 November (17:15 WAT). In the table, Finland U21 are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Republic of Ireland U21 are 7th (in the drop zone) with 15.

Current form

Finland U21, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Kosovo U21, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Republic of Ireland U21, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over England U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Finland U21 2.0 xG, Republic of Ireland U21 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Finland U21 48%, draw 23%, Republic of Ireland U21 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.81.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finland U21 1–1 Republic of Ireland U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Finland U2148%fair 2.07 · @2.16
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.28
Republic of Ireland U2128%fair 3.55 · @3.15
3.35Expected goals
1.95Finland U21 xG
1.39Republic of Ireland U21 xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
2–07%
1–27%
2–27%

From our goals model: Finland U21 2.0 – 1.4 Republic of Ireland U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Finland U21Republic of Ireland U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average+38%+21%
Goals conceded vs average-15%-10%
Our expected goals here2.291.54

Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFinland U21 to win48%2.072.16
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.81
Draw no betFinland U21 (draw no bet)63%1.58–
Asian handicapRepublic of Ireland U21 +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.301.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.812.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.521.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.04
First team to scoreFinland U21 to score first56%1.78–
Half-time resultFinland U21 ahead at half-time39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Finland U21 / FT Finland U2131%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.69–

Recent results

Finland U21 – last 6

DWWWWW
6 Oct@ Kosovo U214–4D
30 Sep@ Romania U212–0W
25 Sepvs Spain U212–1W
8 Jun@ Norway U212–0W
4 Jun@ Sweden U213–1W
31 Marvs Cyprus U213–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Republic of Ireland U21 – last 6

WWWDDW
6 Octvs England U213–1W
29 Sepvs Kazakhstan U214–3W
25 Sep@ Slovakia U212–0W
9 Junvs Qatar U230–0D
6 Jun@ Croatia U212–2D
31 Mar@ Kazakhstan U211–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Finland U21 and Republic of Ireland U21.

Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U2110802+1524
2Croatia U2110712+1522
3Finland U2110613+519
4Austria U2110514+916
5Azerbaijan U2110217-127
6Estonia U21100010-320

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?

On our numbers Finland U21 have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Republic of Ireland U21 28%.

How many goals will there be in Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?

Our predicted score is Finland U21 1–1 Republic of Ireland U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21?

Finland U21 vs Republic of Ireland U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.