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Iceland U21 v Greece U21: numbers & prediction

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Throttarvollur
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Iceland U21 38%Draw 24%Greece U21 38% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.50
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultIceland U21 to win38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.42

Iceland U21 vs Greece U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Iceland U21 welcome Greece U21 to Throttarvollur for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Thursday 12 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Iceland U21 are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 8 matches; Greece U21 are 3rd (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

Iceland U21, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Faroe Islands U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Greece U21, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Northern Ireland U21, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Iceland U21 1.7 xG, Greece U21 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Iceland U21 38%, draw 24%, Greece U21 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iceland U21 1–1 Greece U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Iceland U2138%fair 2.60 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.40
Greece U2138%fair 2.65 · @2.35
3.15Expected goals
1.65Iceland U21 xG
1.50Greece U21 xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Iceland U21 1.7 – 1.5 Greece U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Iceland U21Greece U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average+26%+25%
Goals conceded vs average-22%-21%
Our expected goals here1.841.46

Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIceland U21 to win38%2.602.60
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.611.67
Draw no betIceland U21 (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapGreece U21 +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.271.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.781.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.12
First team to scoreIceland U21 to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Iceland U21 / FT Iceland U2125%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.42–

Recent results

Iceland U21 – last 5

WWDLW
6 Oct@ Faroe Islands U212–0W
29 Sepvs Switzerland U215–1W
25 Sepvs France U211–1D
30 Mar@ France U211–2L
26 Marvs Estonia U216–2W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Greece U21 – last 6

WWWDLL
6 Oct@ Northern Ireland U211–0W
1 Octvs Latvia U214–2W
26 Sep@ Georgia U213–0W
30 May@ Croatia U211–1D
27 Mayvs Qatar U201–2L
31 Marvs Germany U210–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Iceland U21 and Greece U21.

Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U2110910+3828
2Iceland U2110532+1818
3Greece U2110523+617
4Belarus U2110406+112
5Cyprus U2110325011
6Liechtenstein U21100010-630

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

On our numbers Iceland U21 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Greece U21 38%.

How many goals will there be in Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

Our predicted score is Iceland U21 1–1 Greece U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Iceland U21 vs Greece U21?

Iceland U21 vs Greece U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Throttarvollur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.