Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSakaryaspor to win ✗65% · @1.44
Double chanceSakaryaspor or draw ✗87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.40
Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bursa Yıldırımspor travel to face Sakaryaspor on Wednesday 28 October in the Cup – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Sakaryaspor, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to 24 Erzincanspor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Bursa Yıldırımspor, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Eskişehirspor, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sakaryaspor 1.5 xG, Bursa Yıldırımspor 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sakaryaspor 65%, draw 22%, Bursa Yıldırımspor 13%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sakaryaspor to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sakaryaspor 1–0 Bursa Yıldırımspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sakaryaspor65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.90
Bursa Yıldırımspor13%fair 7.72 · @5.80
2.00Expected goals
1.53Sakaryaspor xG
0.47Bursa Yıldırımspor xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sakaryaspor 1.5 – 0.5 Bursa Yıldırımspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sakaryaspor to win✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Sakaryaspor or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Draw no bet
Sakaryaspor (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Sakaryaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sakaryaspor to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sakaryaspor / FT Sakaryaspor✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.40
–
Recent results
Sakaryaspor – last 6
LWDWWW
24 Oct
vs 24 Erzincanspor
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs İskenderunspor
2–2
D
6 Oct
vs Arit Kayadibi
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Kırklarelispor
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Kütahyaspor
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bursa Yıldırımspor – last 6
DDWWWD
24 Oct
@ Eskişehirspor
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Uşak Spor
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Alanya 1221 FK
1–0
W
7 Oct
vs Amasyaspor 1968
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Bucaspor 1928
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Nilüfer Belediye
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sakaryaspor and Bursa Yıldırımspor.
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
Our pick is Sakaryaspor to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
On our numbers Sakaryaspor have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bursa Yıldırımspor 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
Our predicted score is Sakaryaspor 1–0 Bursa Yıldırımspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.