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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oriente Petrolero v Nacional Potosí: numbers & prediction

Copa De La División Profesional · Bolivia · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Oriente Petrolero 62%Draw 24%Nacional Potosí 14% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.03
86%
Betarazi pick

Oriente Petrolero or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Oriente Petrolero to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOriente Petrolero to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 22 October the Copa De La División Profesional brings Oriente Petrolero against Nacional Potosí at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Oriente Petrolero, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guabirá, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Nacional Potosí, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bolívar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Momentum favours Nacional Potosí, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Oriente Petrolero.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Aug 2026) it ended Oriente Petrolero 1–0 Nacional Potosí.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oriente Petrolero 2.2 xG, Nacional Potosí 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oriente Petrolero 62%, draw 24%, Nacional Potosí 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Oriente Petrolero or draw (86%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Oriente Petrolero to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Oriente Petrolero or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriente Petrolero 2–1 Nacional Potosí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oriente Petrolero62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Nacional Potosí14%fair 7.25 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.22Oriente Petrolero xG
1.03Nacional Potosí xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Oriente Petrolero 2.2 – 1.0 Nacional Potosí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOriente Petrolero to win ✓62%1.611.73 ▲
Double chanceOriente Petrolero or draw ✓86%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.60
Draw no betOriente Petrolero (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapOriente Petrolero -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
First team to scoreOriente Petrolero to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultOriente Petrolero ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oriente Petrolero / FT Oriente Petrolero ✓42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Oriente Petrolero – last 6

DWWLDL
19 Oct@ Guabirá1–1D
11 Octvs ABB1–0W
8 Octvs Universitario de Vinto2–0W
4 Oct@ Guabirá1–2L
1 Octvs The Strongest1–1D
27 Sep@ Universitario de Vinto0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nacional Potosí – last 6

LDWWDW
18 Octvs Bolívar0–1L
11 Oct@ Aurora2–2D
8 Oct@ Always Ready3–2W
3 Octvs Real Oruro2–0W
30 Sep@ Real Tomayapo1–1D
26 Sepvs Always Ready9–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Aug 2026Oriente Petrolero v Nacional Potosí1–0
Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí?

Our pick is Oriente Petrolero or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí?

On our numbers Oriente Petrolero have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nacional Potosí 14%.

How many goals will there be in Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí?

Our predicted score is Oriente Petrolero 2–1 Nacional Potosí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí?

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí (Copa De La División Profesional) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.