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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maringá v Ferroviária: numbers & prediction

Serie C · Brazil
1–1
FT
Maringá 45%Draw 24%Ferroviária 31% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.10
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultMaringá to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Maringá vs Ferroviária: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Maringá v Ferroviária in the Serie C. In the table, Maringá are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Ferroviária are 1st with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Maringá, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Floresta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Ferroviária, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paysandu, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Maringá 3–2 Ferroviária.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maringá 1.4 xG, Ferroviária 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maringá 45%, draw 24%, Ferroviária 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maringá 1–1 Ferroviária. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maringá45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.88
Ferroviária31%fair 3.23 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.38Maringá xG
1.10Ferroviária xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Maringá 1.4 – 1.1 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaringá to win ✗45%2.242.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.85 ▲
Draw no betMaringá (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapFerroviária +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreMaringá to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maringá / FT Maringá ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

Maringá – last 6

WDDWLW
10 Octvs Floresta2–0W
3 Oct@ Santa Cruz1–1D
26 Sep@ Botafogo PB0–0D
19 Sepvs Botafogo PB2–0W
12 Sepvs Santa Cruz0–1L
6 Sep@ Floresta1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ferroviária – last 6

LDWWDW
3 Oct@ Paysandu0–1L
27 Sep@ Brusque1–1D
20 Sepvs Brusque3–2W
13 Sepvs Paysandu1–0W
5 Sep@ Inter De Limeira3–3D
29 Augvs Confiança1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Maringá v Ferroviária3–2
Maringá vs Ferroviária head-to-head page →

Serie C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo PB191036+933
2Brusque19955+632
3Ferroviária19865+730
4Maringá19865+230
5Floresta19865+230
6Inter De Limeira19865+230
7Paysandu19928-129
8Santa Cruz19856+529
9Ypiranga-RS19856+329
10Guarani Campinas19775+1028
11Figueirense19775-328
12Maranhão19766+127
13Amazonas19757-226
14Caxias19676+125
15Ituano19649-322
16Volta Redonda196310-1221
17Barra19568021
18Anápolis195410-519
19AO Itabaiana194510-1317
20Confiança193412-913

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maringá vs Ferroviária?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Maringá vs Ferroviária?

On our numbers Maringá have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ferroviária 31%.

How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Ferroviária?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Ferroviária?

Our predicted score is Maringá 1–1 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Maringá vs Ferroviária?

Maringá vs Ferroviária (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.